Layoffs are mushrooming in the tech industry. For example, Amazon, Salesforce, and Facebook—big, public tech companies—have all announced sizable layoffs. These are high-paying, skilled jobs that used to be thought of as safe. These jobs were abundant while these companies grew for many years and competed for talent, creating a market where talent always knew they could find a job. Things have changed. These companies are all reducing or freezing headcount at the same time. This is playing out with smaller private tech companies too.
Absent a reversal, I suspect this will lead to a big uptick in entrepreneurship. Until now, employees with safe, high-paying jobs have had a strong incentive to not pursue entrepreneurship. Low-risk, high-reward positions were abundant. But with the market changing, the risk is greater. If you’re laid off, your reward is low (zero pay). For those who have entrepreneurial desire, starting a company now makes more sense. They’ll still be in a high-risk situation, but they’ll also have a shot at high rewards and have more control over their own destiny. Said differently, in an environment where you can’t find a job, what do you have to lose by trying to start a company?
I think we’ll start seeing more people (in tech and other industries) look at the changing risk/reward dynamics and decide to bet on themselves.