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I share what I learn each day about entrepreneurship—from a biography or my own experience. Always a 2-min read or less.
John H. Johnson Part 4: Professional Success and Personal Tragedy
In 1949, John H. Johnson was doing well. He was a millionaire at 31, and his magazines, Ebony and Negro Digest, were thriving. That wasn’t good enough for John; he feared losing it all. He launched two magazines in 1950 and two in 1951, including JET. JET was a breakout success, selling out its first issue and reaching 300,000 weekly circulation in six months.
According to his autobiography, JET’s and Ebony’s success reduced the circulation of Negro Digest, and John discontinued it in 1951 so he could focus on strengthening his company’s foundation. Cash flow issues, dealing with recessions, expanding the advertising team, and building a solid accounting and finance team all had to be done simultaneously. John recruited talented workers who lacked growth opportunities at large publishing houses. And he set up a system where everyone continuously grew by mastering several skills. Specialists weren’t allowed.
In the 1950s, John created a four-point plan to make Ebony and the Black consumer market integral parts of corporate America’s marketing and advertising plans. He wrote articles in trade publications and provided data to ad agencies and corporations to confirm the spending power of the Black consumer. His strategy worked: advertising dollars increased. However, these new believers, needing staff who understood Black consumers, poached John’s team members.
In 1954, John faced twin headwinds: a series of recessions and a shift away from newsstand sales for magazines. In one month, Ebony’s circulation dropped by 100,000. If Ebony failed, his company would collapse. John shifted the revenue mix to half subscriptions, half newsstand sales and changed the content to reflect the seriousness of what his readers were facing.
After thirteen years of fighting to survive and ten years of publishing Ebony, things finally stabilized. John’s first thirteen years had been hell, but he’d made it. He had 145 employees and a monthly circulation of 2.6 million copies across four magazines. Johnson Publishing was healthy and on solid footing.
With his company running smoothly, John lifted his head and focused outside Johnson Publishing. John and Eunice were ready to start a family but encountered infertility issues. They were rich and successful but couldn’t obtain what they both craved: children and a family. They endured embarrassing and painful exams at the Mayo Clinic, only to learn they both had healthy reproductive systems. Not being able to have children can be a blow to a man’s ego, but John and Eunice investigated adoption for a year and decided it was the best option for them. In June 1965, they adopted a two-week-old son and named him John Harold Johnson Jr. Two years later they adopted a two-week-old girl and named her Linda Eunice Johnson.
The family’s happy times didn’t last. John Jr. began having long bouts of sickness. John and Eunice learned that their son had sickle-cell anemia. They discovered that there was no cure and John Jr. would endure pain and likely die early from the disease. To make matters worse, the adoption agency had forgotten to test John Jr. when he was a baby. The situation changed John. Knowing he had limited time, he traveled less and made being home daily for dinner a priority. He dedicated Sundays to doing fun things with his family. John Jr. lived life to the fullest and was fearless. Sadly, he died in 1981 at 25. John and Eunice were devastated. John kept his son’s office at Johnson Publishing, setting it aside in his memory. And he and Eunice left John Jr.’s bedroom as it was the day he died.
John went on to do many more amazing things. He created Ebony Fashion Fair, which became the largest traveling fashion show in the world. He launched a best-selling cosmetics company and entered the cable, radio, and TV production business. He dabbled in commercial real estate and acquired Supreme Life Insurance Company. And he accomplished all these things in business while serving on numerous corporate boards and having direct relationships with and working with four US presidents.
John’s journey was incredible, and he was a remarkable entrepreneur. His companies had an enormous impact on Black Americans and changed how Blacks and the rest of the United States viewed Black America. That he bootstrapped Johnson Publishing to almost $200 million in annual revenue in the 1980s while owning 100% of the company shows how special the poor boy from Arkansas City was.
I couldn’t cover everything in John’s autobiography. I picked the things that interested me most, but it contains other great stories and details about his life and journey. It’s worth reading. He shares valuable wisdom he learned along the way.
In my next post, I’ll share my takeaways and insights from his journey and what specific traits made him so successful.
Prefer listening? Catch audio versions of these blog posts, with more context added, on Apple Podcasts here or Spotify here!
John H. Johnson Part 3: The Brink of Financial Ruin
When John H. Johnson published Negro Digest on November 1, 1942, his printer realized it wasn’t for John’s employer, Supreme Life Insurance, and that it had unknowingly subsidized the magazine. To pay the printer, John had to sell the remaining 2,000 copies quickly.
According to his autobiography, John called the biggest magazine distributor in Chicago and was told that “colored books don’t sell.” John sent thirty Supreme coworkers to buy his magazine at the distributor’s newsstands using money he gave them. This prompted the distributor to buy John’s remaining inventory and then some. The distributor started pushing the magazine aggressively and introduced John to other distributors in major cities. Within eight months, he was selling 50,000 copies a month. In July 1943, he took a leave of absence from Supreme and hired a secretary.
John couldn’t crack 50,000 in circulation, so he wrote First Lady Eleanor Roosevelt a letter asking her to write an article in his “If I Was a Negro” column. John was persistent, and she agreed. National media picked up the article, and circulation soared to 100,000 copies. John bought a building for $4,000 and hired a permanent staff in 1944.
John realized he had knowledge gaps in the publishing business, so he cold-called top executives at prominent magazines. He quickly learned that people will tell you everything they know when you confess your ignorance. Gaining wisdom from credible insiders provided John with the blueprints for what he wanted to build and how to build it.
John didn’t have loans or investors, so he faced cash flow issues that forced him to learn cash flow management and to do some questionable things with checks and bank accounts.
In 1945, World War II was raging, and wartime rationing meant that John’s fast-growing company was using more paper than the law allowed. The U.S. government issued him a violation. He had to reduce the number of copies he printed and send the company into bankruptcy or keep printing and go to jail. John claimed ignorance of the law and passionately appealed to the War Production Board. Twenty-four other people, with their lawyers, also appeared before the board that day. John, who by design didn’t have a lawyer, was the only one who got a hardship exemption.
John refocused on the business, and two of his freelancers approached him with an idea for a new photograph-based magazine named Jive. John didn’t like the idea, but he respected their contributions to his magazine and agreed to partner with them three ways on the idea. Each would put up $1,000. After working on the concept, the freelancers didn’t put up their share of the money, so John funded the entire project and took ownership. This ended up being the turning point in his life.
Even though he was skeptical, he kept working on the idea. He eventually realized that America was shifting from reading and wanted to see themselves and the people they admired in pictures. John slowly saw that the shift to photographs could be a way to emphasize the positive aspects of Black life, highlight the significant achievements of Blacks, make Blacks proud of themselves, and recharge Black people using positivity. This became his philosophy for the new concept. John hated the name Jive, and when Eunice suggested Ebony, John ran with it.
The first issue was published November 1, 1945, by John, then 27, and a team of two other people. John initially ran Ebony with no ads to ensure that it was high quality. Ebony was a breakout success and instantly surpassed Negro Digest as the top Black publication. However, as more copies were sold, John lost more money. People praised him in public, but John hid from creditors. The high-quality magazine was expensive to produce compared to Negro Digest, which was backed by ad revenue. By the end of 1946, John was in a tough spot. He couldn’t cut Ebony’s circulation because that would reduce potential future ad revenue. But he was losing a fortune every month.
John devised a twofold strategy. He launched five mail-order businesses that he could advertise in his magazines. The revenue from product sales from the mail-order companies would offset the cash burn from Ebony. He then started personally selling ads to executives of ad agencies and then large companies. He was relentless. He called one CEO 400 times and stalked another on a train weekly for three weeks.
After two years on the verge of collapse, Ebony turned around when the ad dollars started flowing regularly. John hired the best ad person he could find and built a team of ad salespeople. He’d run the gauntlet. Seven years after launching Negro Digest, John was 31 and a millionaire. But he was still insecure and scared of failure. His fears would be a key factor driving John’s next bold bet.
Prefer listening? Catch audio versions of these blog posts, with more context added, on Apple Podcasts here or Spotify here!
John H. Johnson Part 2: From College Dropout to Publishing Solopreneur
According to his autobiography, after graduating high school in 1936, John H. Johnson attended an Urban League luncheon where Harry H. Pace spoke. Pace was the CEO of Supreme Liberty Life Insurance, which provided insurance to the Black community. John rushed Pace after his speech. Pace had heard about John’s commencement speech and asked about his plans. John shared that he couldn’t afford college, and Pace offered him a part-time job at Supreme.
In September 1936, John started working part-time for $25 per month and eventually quit school to work at Supreme full-time. Supreme was the perfect environment for John and became the university where he would learn all things business over five years. Watching and learning as Pace navigated a million-dollar business gave John a thrill.
Journalism was John’s passion, and Pace assigned John to work on Supreme’s monthly newsletter. Pace was the editor, so John worked closely with him. In 1939, John was named editor. John learned as much as he could from Pace about business, life, success, and Black America as he chauffeured him to the bank every day. Lessons about focus, computerizing your mind, business being an art, and others stuck with John; he used them throughout his career.
John eventually moved to selling insurance in the field and even supported Supreme’s general counsel running for local office. By then, Supreme wasn’t just a job for John; it was the place where he was learning how to navigate life and achieve his goals.
In 1940, John met Eunice Walker, who came from a prominent southern family. Eunice’s friends told her John’s background wasn’t encouraging and he wasn’t one of the Black professionals who were likely to succeed. Eunice saw something else in John, and John relished how she listened to his dreams and made him feel that he could be somebody one day. They married in June 1942.
Pace didn’t want to take Black newspapers home. He asked John to read magazines and newspapers and prepare digests of what was happening in the Black world, which John did on Mondays. Pace used them to stay abreast of race relations and guide his conversations. John became one of the most knowledgeable people in Black Chicago. At social gatherings, he became the center of attention when he began sharing what he’d learned. People kept asking, “Where can I find that article?” and offered to pay him to find specific articles.
After several weeks, John realized he was “looking at a black gold mine.” Readers Digest and Time were popular, but there wasn’t a successful, Black, commercial magazine. But after two months of going from office to office in Black Chicago, John realized that nobody wanted to give a twenty-four-year-old insurance worker a cent toward this idea.
John was running the machine that mailed invoices to 20,000 Supreme customers. He looked around and asked himself what he could do by himself with what he had to get what he wanted. Then it hit him: he could send a letter to each of Supreme’s customers asking if they wanted to prepay for a $2 subscription to a new, Black magazine. Pace blessed the idea. John just needed one last thing: $500 to buy stamps. Desperate, he tried to get a bank loan but was turned down. Eventually, he found a bank that loaned to Blacks, but he needed collateral. He didn’t know what that meant, and he didn’t have it anyway.
After much prayer and pestering by John, his mother put up her furniture as collateral. John wrote his letter, pitching his magazine as something that appealed to what Black customers craved at the time: respect and recognition. He mailed it and crossed his fingers. It worked. Three thousand people sent John $6,000. Negro Digest Publishing was born in June 1942.
John worked by day at Supreme and by night on the magazine. Eunice helped him at night too. By October he was ready to print but needed a printer who would extend credit. John ran the duplicating machine at Supreme and managed Supreme’s relationship with Progress Printing Company. When John said to the printer, “We are publishing a magazine,” the printer assumed the magazine was for or backed by Supreme and started working without worrying about being paid.
On Sunday, November 1, 1942, Negro Digest was officially published. John realized the true potential of what he’d created when he held the first magazine.
John had successfully launched Negro Publishing, but it was a one-man company, and he wasn’t out of the woods yet. He printed 5,000 magazines and sent 3,000 to prepaid subscribers. Now, he needed to find a way to pay for the remaining 2,000 copies and cover the mailing costs for the 3,000 copies already sent to subscribers. If he didn’t figure it out fast, he’d be in jail. This led to what he would do next.
Prefer listening? Catch audio versions of these blog posts, with more context added, on Apple Podcasts here or Spotify here!
John H. Johnson Part 1: An Arkansas Boy with Something to Prove
John H. Johnson founded Johnson Publishing Company, which published JET and Ebony magazines for decades. I learned about John when I read the biography of Robert “Bob” Johnson (no relation to John). Doing some research, I discovered that John started his company with $500 and grew it to over $174 million in annual revenue by 1987—almost $481 million in 2024 dollars. He grew without bank loans or investors (i.e., customer revenue only) for over a decade. This blew my mind, so I bought John’s autobiography, Succeeding Against the Odds: The Autobiography of a Great American Businessman, initially published in 1989.
Life started out rough for John. He grew up dirt poor in segregated Arkansas City, Arkansas. When he was eight years old, his father was killed in a sawmill accident. When he was nine, the Great Mississippi Flood of 1927 ravaged his city, and his family became homeless. As a child, John was forced to work to help his family make ends meet. He grew up feeling that his family wasn’t in control of their destiny. “[A} word or frown from a White person could change our plans and our lives,” he wrote. This feeling unnerved him.
There was no radio then, so information didn’t flow freely. What people believed was possible was based on what they saw. John’s mother, Gertrude Johnson Williams, who remarried, was a “dominant force” in the family and didn’t subscribe to this way of thinking. She believed that just because she hadn’t seen something, that didn’t mean it wasn’t possible, and that John could be more than what they saw in Arkansas City. Education was the key, but Arkansas City didn’t have a high school for Black students. She devised a plan to move to Chicago for more economic opportunities and better educational opportunities for John. The plan was to leave in the summer of 1932 when John finished eighth grade, but she didn’t have enough money. By the summer of 1933, she’d saved enough money to leave. John was 15 years old.
When they arrived, they found Chicago to be a “Black metropolis.” Seeing Black entrepreneurs, politicians, doctors, and lawyers made a lasting impression on young John. And his high school had more students than the entire population of Arkansas City. The primarily Black educators and administrators were a daily reminder of what was possible.
John’s classmates were poor, but John was a level below them. He had to wear clothes his mother made for him. During the Great Depression, his mother and stepfather lost their jobs, and the family went on welfare for two years. The shame of this experience left a lasting impression on John. Poverty and his deep southern accent made John the target of ridicule.
Determined to get even with classmates, he threw himself into excelling at his schoolwork. He became a voracious reader of self-help books, Black literature, and Black history. John spent significant time in the public library reading books about Blacks who had succeeded against the odds, which energized him. He also became an avid reader of Dale Carnegie’s books, especially How to Win Friends and Influence People. John took Carnegie’s principles to heart. He practiced in the mirror for hours daily and forced himself to speak up in class. The hard work paid off. His classmates didn’t just stop teasing him; they elected John class president in his junior and senior years. And John was invited to give a commencement speech at his high school graduation, which was highlighted in local newspapers.
John was a good student and received a partial scholarship to the University of Chicago, but it wasn’t enough, and his family couldn’t help. It was the depths of the Great Depression, and John was desperate to find a way to pay for college; this, plus the confidence he’d gained from practicing Carnegie’s methods, would lead to what John would do next.
Prefer listening? Catch audio versions of these blog posts, with more context added, on Apple Podcasts here or Spotify here!
Last Week’s Struggles and Lessons (Week Ending 7/7/24)
Current Project: Reading books about entrepreneurs and sharing what I learned from them via blog posts and audio podcasts
Mission: Create a library of wisdom from notable entrepreneurs that current entrepreneurs can leverage to increase their chances of success
What I struggled with:
- The holiday – I didn’t publish audio podcasts on July 4 and two days after it. No excuses. I’m catching up now, but it’s been painful.
What I learned:
- The two-day podcasting conference was eye-opening. It confirmed that the market for people actively seeking to fill their knowledge gaps around entrepreneurship is growing rapidly. I got concrete numbers from podcasters and made valuable connections with podcasters, agencies, and service providers.
- Extremely successful podcast entrepreneurs are struggling to manage growth and add structure to their businesses. And so are the service providers and agencies supporting the podcasters.
- Podcast entrepreneurs and entrepreneurs providing services to podcasters were excited to talk about how they learn and hear about new ways to learn.
- I need to get to the point where I have a larger buffer of podcasts ready to publish so I’m not playing catchup during holidays or days when I need to take time off.
Those are my struggles and learnings from the week!
Prefer listening? Catch audio versions of these blog posts, with more context added, on Apple Podcasts here or Spotify here!
Weekly Update: Week Two Hundred Twenty-Three
Current Project: Reading books about entrepreneurs and sharing what I learned from them via blog posts and audio podcasts
Mission: Create a library of wisdom from notable entrepreneurs that current entrepreneurs can leverage to increase their chances of success
Metrics (cumulative since 4/1/24):
- Total audio recordings published: 76 (+5)
- Total blog posts published: 98 (+7)
- Average recording: roughly 16 minutes (+2) for a biography or autobiography
What I completed this week (link to last week’s commitments):
- Read the autobiography of John H. Johnson, founder and publisher of Jet and Ebony magazines
- Attended a two-day podcasting conference
- Had one additional feedback session
- Compiled and sorted feedback from sessions completed the week of 6/24/24
- Updated all links to books in all blog posts (4/1/24 and after) and podcasts with Amazon affiliate links
Content:
- Audio content changes: I lengthened each recording by two minutes by adding more context and comparisons to other entrepreneurs
What I’ll do next week:
- Read one biography or autobiography
- Write seven blog posts and record seven audio posts
- Start reading one of the books about storytelling that I purchased; this is a carryover from last week
- Complete three feedback sessions
- Identify two candidates who can help edit recordings
Asks:
- Listen to my most recent series on Sam Zell and James Dyson and provide feedback on how I can improve them
Week two hundred twenty-three was another week of learning. Looking forward to next week!
Prefer listening? Catch audio versions of these blog posts, with more context added, on Apple Podcasts here or Spotify here!
Sam Zell Part 5: The Wrap-up
I finished reading about Sam Zell’s journey. Sam was a colorful person, and his autobiography captures this. He published this book in 2017, when he was 75, and passed away last year at age 81.
What Was Unique about Sam’s Upbringing?
Sam grew up in a middle-class family, but his upbringing was unusual. His parents left Poland’s familiarity and spent almost two grueling years migrating to the United States. When they made it, they started from nearly zero and built a prosperous life (and learned a new language). His parents thought and acted differently than his schoolmates’ parents. Recognizing you’re in the wrong situation, taking action to get to the right situation, and successfully rebuilding from zero highlights the immigrant mentality ingrained in Sam’s parents.
That mentality was the reason Sam’s parents weren’t killed by the Nazis, and they instilled that mindset in their children. Sam’s comfort in going against conventional wisdom, ability to repeatedly change strategies, and dogged work ethic resulted from being raised by parents who embraced the immigrant mentality.
How Did Sam Become So Successful?
Sam embraced capital leverage throughout his career. He often used two forms of capital leverage simultaneously. He borrowed from banks and raised money from investors to purchase investments, which is common in real estate. When he invested using leverage, he could invest in opportunities that exceeded the capacity of his capital and magnified the returns when deals were successful. Conversely, leverage magnified painful periods for him.
Sam also invested when the prices were so low that his downside risk was significantly reduced while his upside potential was massive. For example, in real estate, he purchased when properties were selling below replacement cost, meaning that any new competitors would be forced to charge higher rental rates than Sam.
Buying at the bottom and using capital leverage significantly reduced his probability of being crushed by leverage and magnified his gains.
Sam was a macro thinker. He could understand the implications of a macro change, such as a new law, and what micro actions to take to capitalize on it. Thinking top-down and being right about micro implications is extremely difficult, and executing on such understanding consistently is extremely difficult and rare. Sam had this gift and drew on it to invest in more than just real estate.
Sam recognized the value of having access to liquidity when using capital leverage in the business. He understood that the stock market is the only reliable source of liquidity. Even when times are tough, people are still buying and selling in the market. Sam spent time mastering the IPO process and learning how to run a company in a manner that met public-market investor expectations.
What Kind of Entrepreneur Was Sam?
Sam was an entrepreneur, not a founder. He wasn’t focused on a specific problem or solution. He was always looking for an opportunity to make money. Finding creative and intellectually stimulating ways to make money excited him. He had no interest in focusing intensely on a single problem for an extended period.
Sam enjoyed the art of deal-making, although he doesn’t appear to have been a zero-sum thinker. He wanted everyone to win so he could do more deals with them in the future and not take every penny for himself.
Sam was a high-level strategic thinker. Operational details didn’t interest him at all. He understood this and leaned into it. He was at his best when partnered with someone operationally minded, such as Bob Lurie.
What Did I Learn from Sam’s Journey?
The immigrant mentality is a powerful force and can change one’s life trajectory. This mindset comes with risks, but if consistently applied, it will likely put you in a better situation.
Being driven and intense exacted a price. Sam was married three times.
Thinking in terms of supply and demand is a simple way of evaluating opportunities. There’s no substitute for limited competition. Thinking about when supply and demand curves will intersect and the opportunity that will be created stuck with me.
Risk evaluation—constantly evaluating the downside and upside of every situation and acting only when downside is limited—is something to keep top of mind.
Simple tools can have a big impact. Sam used outlines to organize his thinking and cut to the heart of complex issues. When he was in trouble, he made lists and zeroed in on the tasks to accomplish each item on his list. This helped him from being overwhelmed.
Capital leverage make it difficult and stressful to weather the inevitable rough periods in the business cycle. When you’re at the top of a cycle, upside potential is reduced and downside risk increases. This is a great time to reduce or eliminate your capital leverage.
Finally, Sam was eccentric and did things his way, but he did everything at a high level and to the best of his ability. Because he did everything at a high level, he won more than he lost. Because he won more than he lost, people embraced his eccentricity. If you’re excellent at what you do, people will accept you for who you are, regardless. Everybody loves a winner!
Sam was an amazing entrepreneur. In his autobiography, Sam provided specific details on some of his biggest deals. Anyone interested in buying companies, entering new businesses, or using frameworks when investing can benefit from reading his book.
Prefer listening? Catch audio versions of these blog posts, with more context added, on Apple Podcasts here or Spotify here!
Sam Zell Part 4: The $39 Billion Sale
Sam Zell was riding high in the 1980s. According to his autobiography, the early 1990s were one of his most difficult periods. His partner of twenty years, Bob Lurie, died of cancer in his 40s, which rocked Sam. He was in denial about the severity of the situation until Bob sat him down and told him he needed to prepare for Bob to die. To make matters worse, his second marriage ended in divorce in 1994.
While Sam navigated those challenges, the economy went into a recession. Sam’s companies couldn’t refinance their debt and struggled to make payroll. Sam was on the brink of default and failure.
Listing his companies publicly on the stock market was his only option for raising cash. Sam dove into learning everything about this process and, in 1991, completed his first IPO for a portfolio company. Learning how to run the IPO process would be a valuable skill. During this period, Sam listed seven of his companies for about $2 billion in total.
Sam recognized he wasn’t the only one struggling. Many companies had too much debt and were desperate to raise capital. In 1990, Sam created a $1 billion fund to invest in distressed companies; he bought ownership stakes at discounted prices.
Sam also spotted a structural change in real estate:
- Easy money from Japan lent to US developers caused overdevelopment
- The savings-and-loan crisis eliminated a key source of lending to real estate
- The Tax Reform Act of 1986 reduced tax benefits for syndicate investors (such as Sam’s father), which reduced the capital these investors allocated to real estate
With most real estate using 80% to 90% borrowed money, Sam recognized that these factors, plus a recession reducing rental demand, would make it impossible for property owners to service their debt loads. This would lead to a real estate crisis worse than the Great Depression.
Sam was right. Commercial real estate lost 50% of its value. Losses were estimated at $80 billion. Between 1989 and 1996, Sam raised four funds for $2.1 billion and went on a buying spree.
In 1992, Morgan Stanley created a new real estate investment trust (REIT) structure called an umbrella partnership real estate investment trust (UPREIT), which allowed property owners to contribute property to REITs listed on the stock market and gain liquidity without triggering a tax event. Property owners could turn illiquid buildings into liquid holdings that generated predictable cash flow (UPREITS must distribute at least 90% of taxable income to shareholders annually). Sam leveraged his decade of taking companies public in 1997 by taking his four real estate funds public as a UPREIT and named it the Equity Office Properties (EOP) Trust.
Ten years later, in 2007, Sam perfectly executed a competitive bidding process between Blackstone Group and Vornado Realty Trust and sold EOP to Blackstone for an eye-popping $39 billion. Sam’s timing was impeccable—the Global Financial Crisis was approaching.
Sam also leveraged his experience investing where populations grew and started investing in real estate in emerging markets. He created Equity International in the late 1990s and began partnering with developers in emerging markets who were great operators. Sam provided the capital and best practices on financial discipline and strategies and helped prepare the developers for public-market investors.
This period was a wild journey full of ups and downs for Sam. But two things stood out to me. Sam had an uncanny ability to recognize macro events and understand how they impacted the supply and demand of real estate and capital available to companies. He masterfully positioned himself to take advantage of these insights before others appreciated them. Sam also did a great job identifying and learning skills that could be helpful in the future. He could have relied on investment bankers to run his IPO processes, but he decided to learn the skill himself because he knew it would be valuable in the future given that public markets are the most constant source of liquidity.
In the next post, I’ll share my takeaways from Sam’s journey.
Prefer listening? Catch audio versions of these blog posts, with more context added, on Apple Podcasts here or Spotify here!
Sam Zell Part 3: Transition to Professional Opportunist
In the 1970s, Sam Zell refined his business principles to the following:
- If an opportunity has a large downside and minimal upside, steer clear—and if it has a minimal downside and large upside, go after it
- Make sure you’re getting paid sufficiently for the risk you take
- Never risk what you can’t afford to lose
- Keep it simple: the more steps, the more opportunities to fail
He also refined his thinking on supply and demand:
- Opportunity is embedded in the imbalance between supply and demand
- Both rising demand against flat or diminishing supply and flat demand against shrinking supply create opportunistic imbalances
According to his autobiography, Sam’s refined thinking led him to realize that his thesis of investing in high-growth second- and third-tier cities had run its course. Other investors had recognized the opportunity, so more capital was chasing these properties, increasing prices and reducing returns. By 1973, Sam realized that the supply/demand imbalance in commercial real estate was getting extreme. Easy money had led to more development and too much supply, which Sam predicted would decrease rental rates. At the same time, a recession was beginning, which would reduce demand. In short, supply was increasing rapidly and demand was about to start decreasing.
Sam sold his properties and started stashing cash to take advantage of the crash he thought was inevitable. He also launched First Property Management Company to focus on managing distressed properties. Until the market crashed twelve months later and Sam was buying properties at 50% discounts, everyone thought he was insane.
Between 1974 and 1977, Sam used a creative strategy to purchase $4 billion worth of properties with $1 down per property. He borrowed at a roughly 6% fixed interest rate while inflation was 9% or higher—so he was making 3% the second the deals closed. He realized the real money in real estate is made from borrowing at a long-term fixed rate in an inflationary environment, which increases property value and rents and depreciates the value of the loan.
Sam became known as the grave dancer because he bought at deeply discounted prices when others were afraid. But he viewed it as an opportunity to resurrect properties with potential. His low entry price drastically reduced his downside risk and increased his upside potential. This perspective gave him the conviction to bet heavily and be contrarian.
In the 1980s, Sam saw overdevelopment in real estate again but believed the sector had structurally changed. He realized that his business principles and focus on supply and demand could be applied to companies, too, not just real estate. Setting a goal to have 50% of his investments not be in real estate by 1990, he bought distressed companies that had borrowed too much but owned lots of assets like plants and machinery. A weakening economy provided him with ample businesses that fit his criteria and that other investors didn’t want to invest in. He went on a deal spree. In the book, Sam discusses the deals for several public companies he bought entirely or partially.
During this period, Sam also learned that businesses reliant on borrowing benefit from understanding the motivations of their lenders and their methodologies for issuing loans. Doing so led to companies Sam owned offering financing to buyers. At that time, having these loans on their books allowed Sam’s companies to borrow more from banks, which was counterintuitive.
During this period, Sam sharpened his understanding of risk, business, and supply and demand, which led to his transition from real estate investor to investor. When asked what he did for a living, Sam began confidently saying, “I’m a professional opportunist.”
This new outlook would profoundly affect the rest of his career, but first, he’d have to survive some challenging times.
Prefer listening? Catch audio versions of these blog posts, with more context added, on Apple Podcasts here or Spotify here!