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January 2025

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Where I’m Learning: Weekly Sources Worth Sharing

I’ve been making daily learning a top priority for the last few years. Some time ago, I shared how I approach daily learning (see here). That list is still relevant, but the prioritization of the items has changed. I aim to read a biography a week, so that’s the method I focus on most. But I do a lot of other learning throughout the week. For example, I challenged myself to learn the big concepts around marketing (see why here) and have consumed a ton of information. I now have a better understanding of the big marketing concepts and how marketers think.

I’ve recently started creating notes documenting what I’ve learned, and from what sources. I’ve been sharing some of that with founders and friends. They’ve found it helpful. In blog posts, I share what I’m learning from books—but not non-book learning. I want to find a good way to share on my blog the best non-book information I’ve consumed.

I haven’t settled on how to do this, but an idea I’m thinking about now is a weekly list of the top five to ten sources I consumed that week and what I learned from them. I don’t want to keep good information to myself. I want to get into the habit of sharing more useful sources from which others can learn. I just need to figure out how to do it in a way that’s not a huge lift so I can do it consistently. I’m open to ideas. If you have suggestions, send them my way.

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The Psychology Hacks Behind Charlie Munger’s Billion-Dollar Decisions

I finished reading Poor Charlie’s Almanack: The Essential Wit and Wisdom of Charles T. Munger last week. It’s a memoir and collection of famous speeches by Charlie Munger. I’d put off reading it for a while. Looking back, I regret that decision. The book unlocked a different way of evaluating decisions and exposed me to new psychological concepts—some that aren’t even taught in schools. It felt like an introduction to practical psychology for entrepreneurs and investors. I made tons of highlights and notes while reading this book.

I’ll eventually create a blog series on this book, so I won’t go into everything here. But here are a few more takeaways:

  • Checklists – Countless times throughout the book, Charlie mentioned using mental checklists as a way to avoid mistakes in your decision process. Checklists are also a central part of David Allen’s Getting Things Done (unrelated) framework. My takeaway is that checklists are simple tools that are available to everyone, but they’re more powerful than people realize when used consistently.
  • Multidisciplinary learning – I mentioned this in my post last week (here). If you have a narrow understanding of topics or a small tool set, you increase your risk of the cognitive bias of relying too much on one tool or a limited number of tools. Mark Twain described it well: “To a man with a hammer, everything looks like a nail.” You apply tools to situations for which they’re not appropriate and increase the chances of making subpar decisions. Broad learning about topics that interest you helps prevent this. Often, you discover nonobvious relationships between topics that others have missed, which improves your decision-making and gives you an edge. Charlie mastered this, and it led to a life of curiosity-driven learning and a billion-dollar fortune from shrewd decisions.
  • Hard work – Acting and getting things done is one form of hard work. But learning and thinking is another form, one that many people underestimate. Learning and thinking are preparation. Good preparation leads to better decisions and allows you to practice “extreme decisiveness,” which is valuable during extreme uncertainty. From an investing perspective, preparation allows you to identify when something is mispriced and gives you the confidence to bet heavily based on your work, even if everyone else is selling for dear life.
  • Incentives – Incentives heavily influence individual decision-making. Getting them right is critical for entrepreneurs and managers. If you want to understand someone’s actions or thought process, think about how they’re being incentivized.
  • Lollapalooza effect – When two or more factors work at the same time, they magnify outcomes. This works positively and negatively. This reminded me of twin tailwinds, which I’ve noticed when reading about Henry Singleton (see here), Warren Buffett (see here), and 2021’s IPO explosion (here). These are lollapalooza-effect examples that led to massive wealth creation.
  • Mastering wisdom – Mastering the best things others have figured out is a discipline. It’s also a hack. Trying to figure out everything from scratch on your own is hard to do, and most people aren’t smart enough to do it (Charlie’s words, not mine). It’s better to take what others have figured out and build upon their wisdom. Everyone can do it, but many people won’t because it requires a passion for learning and curiosity and is hard work.
  • Inversion – If you’re not sure what to do about a problem, think it through backward to figure out what not to do. By knowing what not to do, you’re one step closer to understanding what to do.
  • Outsourcing thinking – You can’t outsource your thinking. You must think for yourself and, ideally, in a multidisciplinary manner.

Those are just some of my takeaways from this book. I’m glad I read it and will likely reread it someday.

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Weekly Update: Week Two Hundred Fifty-One

Current Project: Reading books about entrepreneurs and sharing what I learned from them

Mission: Create a library of wisdom from notable entrepreneurs that current entrepreneurs can leverage to increase their chances of success

Cumulative metrics (since 4/1/24):

  • Total books read: 46
  • Total book digests created: 15
  • Total blog posts published: 287
  • Total audio recordings published: 103

This week’s metrics:

  • Books read: 1
  • Book digests created: 0
  • Blog posts published: 7
  • Audio recordings published: 0

What I completed this week (link to last week’s commitments):

  • Read Poor Charlie’s Almanack: The Essential Wit and Wisdom of Charles T. Munger, a memoir and collection of famous speeches by Charlie Munger
  • Picked three types of output and associated user problems and created a lucid chart to document the process flow to solve them
  • Created class diagram showing proposed linkages between various classes (tables) in the database
  • Documented the required elements for the UI of the MVP

What I’ll do next week:

  • Read a biography, autobiography, or framework book
  • Get feedback on the problem, vision, and mission statements from two seasoned entrepreneurs
  • Create a concise hypothesis statement  
  • Share the draft taxonomy with two people
  • Continue linking blog posts about the same book
  • Continue updating descriptions for blog posts about the same book

Asks:

  • None

Week two hundred fifty-one was another week of learning. Looking forward to next week!

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Last Week’s Struggles and Lessons (Week Ending 1/19/24)

Current Project: Reading books about entrepreneurs and sharing what I learned from them

Mission: Create a library of wisdom from notable entrepreneurs that current entrepreneurs can leverage to increase their chances of success

What I struggled with:

  • No material struggles this week

What I learned:

  • Creating a class (database table) diagram for all the links between data classes is hard if I try to draw it on paper from the start. It was easier to walk through one class at a time, defining its relationship with other classes and the type of relationship (one-to-one, one-to-many, many-to-many) with each class. AI helped me through this exercise and created a JSON output that documents all the relationships. I then used the JSON output to create the class diagram.
  • The UI doesn’t need to be spectacular for an early version of a software product. It just needs to work. But engineers who aren’t full stack want an example of the UI they should build. Finding examples of UIs from other products and asking a developer to clone one of them (or parts of it) is an efficient way to get a developer what they need.
  • Categorizing the use-case types that entrepreneurs will want to use the “book library” tool for was a great exercise. Each type of problem can have a specific, repeatable solution. Creating an approach or framework for each problem type was a nice unlock.
  • Thinking about the use-case types as one big process and creating a flow process diagram to document it was a big step forward. The document also fostered alignment between my developer friend and me because he could see how I envision the user flow.
  • I need to collaborate with people who complement me, especially in marketing. I had a chat with a friend who’s skilled in marketing. We uncovered some low-hanging-fruit opportunities that could be great ways to drive long-term awareness of this tool organically (i.e., not through paid marketing).
  • Headway is a bootstrapped book-summary app founded in 2019. It’s rumored to do over $200 million in annual revenue with 30% profit margins (source). It raised $100 million at a $2.3 billion valuation in 2024 (source).

Those are my struggles and learnings from the week!

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Founders Swapping Equity

Today, I had a good chat with a founder friend. He mentioned an idea that I thought about for the rest of the day. Sometimes, early-stage founders struggle to reach their next milestones. They know what they want to do to get there, but they don’t have the necessary skills. Their weaknesses hold them back, and they can’t afford people with high-level expertise. However, they often know tons of other founders—and some are strong where they are weak. And vice versa.

My friend’s observation was that early founders, especially those who are bootstrapping, may be able to complement each other temporarily. For example, Bob struggles with marketing but is strong in engineering. John is a killer marketer, but nontechnical. Instead of complaining to each other about not being able to afford or find high-level talent to get them to the next milestone, maybe the two entrepreneurs should temporarily partner with each other. Bob helps John with his technical problems. John helps Bob market his software. Again, temporarily.

My friend took this even further and suggested that these two founders not accept cash compensation. Instead, they pay each other with a very small amount of equity ownership in their respective companies. This aligns interests, helps both companies be capital efficient, and allows each to get high-level talent it otherwise couldn’t access (or afford). Again temporarily. Of course, vesting and other things would need to be clearly outlined.

My friend’s thesis was that certain high-level expertise can make a big difference in the early days. It can help you reach those critical milestones, but it isn’t a full-time job. It’s more of a gap that needs to be filled until you have sufficient traction and resources to hire someone full-time. Also, discussing strategy with another founder who has expertise in a critical area makes those strategy conversations richer and results in better ideas and solutions. Lastly, no one goes as hard as founders. Having a founder on your side, even part-time, can be a game changer.

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Launch Strategy: Target an Industry Event

Today, I chatted with a friend who’s building a new software company. He shared his milestones with me, and I asked how he came up with them. His answer was simple. There’s a major industry conference in March. He wants to do a big launch at that conference, so that’s the date of his public launch. He needs to test it beforehand, so he’s doing a beta launch in the first week of February to select users. He shipped an early version of the product last week to get something out the door so he can iterate before the beta launch.

His approach makes a lot of sense. Pick an event where you want to make the product available to everyone, and then work backward. Create milestones so you can take advantage of feedback cycles and improve the product.

I like his strategy because choosing a public launch day that’s aligned with an event means the launch date can’t change. There’s no pushing it back. You either hit the date or you miss a big opportunity. This adds urgency, and setting mini milestones a few months ahead creates accountability. You can’t wait until the last minute to prepare for the public launch. It also allows you to get and incorporate feedback from early users and adjust the product before the general public sees it.

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Struggle Led Ho Nam and Altos Ventures to Billions

Over the past two years, I’ve studied countless investors who’ve had outsize success. One firm I studied was Altos Ventures. It popped up on my radar when I read the S-1 for Roblox and learned the firm had an almost 25% ownership stake when the company IPOed at a $35.5 billion valuation (see my post here). Altos’s stake was worth over $8 billion at IPO, an enormous haul for a single firm. (The Altos ownership stake can be seen on page 172 of the S-1, here. The ownership is under the name of Altos partner Anthony P. Lee, who serves on the Roblox board.)

Today, an interview of Ho Nam, an Altos founding partner, was published. I’ve watched several Ho interviews; this one was deeply personal and highlighted his struggles while building Altos. Ho described how Altos struggled for over fifteen years. The firm raised four funds and hadn’t generated meaningful returns. The partners hadn’t made any money and weren’t seeing eye to eye.

Their struggles led Altos’s three partners to change their strategy. They originally played what Ho calls the VC lotto game. They’d find promising companies early and focus on preparing them to raise the next funding round from a brand-name VC firm at a higher valuation. That strategy imploded when the dot.com bubble burst. The Altos partners realized they were playing a game they weren’t suited to win. They changed their strategy to focus on helping founders build enduring cash flow–positive businesses that didn’t require excessive venture capital funding. They focused on helping the founders create value for customers in a capital-efficient manner, not on hyping them up to later-stage VC firms.

This strategy change worked in a major way for Ho and Altos. The firm has since had several early-stage companies that each has gone on to be worth over $1 billion; a few, over $10 billion. The firm still owns a stake in Roblox, although it’s been distributing shares to LPs since the IPO, likely for liquidity reasons. As of this writing, Roblox has a market cap (valuation) of almost $42 billion. Coupang is another company Altos invested in early, and that company is publicly traded with a market cap of over $40 billion as of this writing.

Here are a few of my takeaways from Ho’s interview:

  • Everyone can’t play every game. Figure out what game you can play and win. Play that game, even if it’s not popular at the time. Winning fixes everything, and you’ll look like a genius in the end.
  • Struggle is often a prerequisite to outsize success. The painful times force you to evaluate why things aren’t working, hopefully leading to changed behavior. The wisdom gained during struggle leads to better decision-making, which is required for outsize success.
  • Companies exist to add value to customers. You add value to customers by solving their problems. Focus on solving the customer’s problem and capital to grow your company is less likely to be an issue.
  • The best founders are capital efficient. Constraints force creativity, which leads to better solutions for customers. Raising too much money leads to loose spending, which leads to founders focusing on raising capital from investors, not solving their customers’ problems.
  • Control matters a lot for founders. If you’re constantly raising rounds of capital, you're losing control, and your board could fire you.

I enjoyed this interview, which contains nuggets of wisdom for founders and investors to learn from. If you want to watch this section of the interview, you can find it here. You can watch the entire interview here.

Note: Roblox is probably one of Altos’s most capital-efficient portfolio companies. Ho shared on X (formerly Twitter) that Roblox raised only roughly $10 million in funding to get to cash flow positive. All other capital raised was for secondaries (to buy shares from other investors) or to put on the company’s balance sheet.

— Ho Nam (@honam) September 8, 2023
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I’m Learning Psychology from Charlie Munger

I began reading a new book that I’d put off reading for a long time: Poor Charlie’s Almanack: The Essential Wit and Wisdom of Charles T. Munger. I bought the 2005 version years ago. It’s a huge book with tons of pictures, so it’s awkward to hold and difficult to read. Stripe Press printed a version without all the pictures in late 2023 that’s the size of a normal book, making it more manageable. I bought the updated version and dug into reading it.

I’m still reading the book, but so far, I like it. A few high-level thoughts:

  • Psychology – Robert Hagstrom’s books got me more interested in understanding psychology to understand human decision-making (see this post). Munger writes extensively about psychology and judgment. He reiterates the importance of understanding psychology if you want to do well in life. He shares mental models and stories that make understanding some of the big ideas in psychology easier. His insights on psychology and his views of its importance got me excited to learn more about the topic.
  • Education – Munger is critical of higher education institutions, even though he graduated from Harvard Law. He highlights the gaps in how these institutions teach—or don’t teach—certain topics like psychology that make them difficult to apply in everyday life. His big gripe is that they teach these topics in isolation and don’t educate students on how they work in conjunction with other disciplines. They also don’t teach all concepts in a discipline; they selectively choose which ones to cover. He advocates for a multidisciplinary approach to teaching because it better reflects the complexities of the real world. He also advocates for learning all the big ideas in a discipline. He gives the example of how his law classes, such as negotiations, would have been enhanced by psychology concepts. He advocates for people to educate themselves by reading about the big ideas in a discipline such as psychology. The education you can give yourself can be better than what you get at a college or university because it can be multidisciplinary and include all concepts in a discipline.
  • Multidisciplinary learning – Munger is a big believer in the idea that understanding lots of different disciplines and how they work together better prepares you to navigate life and, in his case, make better investments. Having mental models from the various disciplines enhances your ability to read situations and make decisions superior to those of others.

I’m glad I got around to reading this book. I’ve made lots of highlights and notes already. I’m looking forward to finishing it.

If you’re interested in the book, you can learn more about it and download a free PDF copy at Stripe Press here.

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My Amazon Affiliate Earnings: 2024

Last year, I added Amazon affiliate links to my blog and podcast for books I shared (see here). Affiliate programs are commission programs. For every person I refer to Amazon who purchases the item I recommended, I get a commission on the sale. These programs didn’t interest me initially. For books, the effort exceeds the reward. Affiliates earn roughly $0.50 on a book sale. But then I realized the true value is in the data. Amazon’s affiliate program is robust, and I can track which books people click on and which books they purchase. I was very interested in the data, so I signed up for the program and started using affiliate links in mid-June 2024.

I have roughly six months of data. Here are the high-level stats:

  • Items purchased: 14
  • Total revenue generated (for Amazon): $226.05
  • Average revenue per item (for Amazon): $16.14
  • Total affiliate earnings (for me): $6.17
  • Average earnings per purchase (for me): $0.44

I earned about $1 a month from affiliate commissions. My time to implement and execute this was worth more than $6, lol.

But I dug into the data and had some interesting insights:

  • No book had more than one affiliate purchase.
  • The books purchased were mostly about investors who became entrepreneurs when they founded investment firms: Jim Simons, Ed Thorpe, etc. This was interesting and unexpected.
  • I had three international sales in Germany and the United Kingdom. I didn’t expect to have international reach.
  • The majority of purchases were of Kindle or audiobook versions. I’m a physical-book person, so this surprised me.

Absent this affiliate experiment, I wouldn’t have known any of these things. So, from an insights perspective, the experiment was valuable. The sample size is small, of course, so I can’t draw definitive conclusions, but it’s still helpful.

So, what’s the verdict on my Amazon affiliate experiment? I’m glad I did the experiment because of the data it provides. I won’t get rich off affiliate commissions on book sales, but the insights are valuable. Now that I’ve got this, stopping the experiment doesn’t make sense. I’ll keep adding the affiliate links to content I share about books.

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Weekly Update: Week Two Hundred Fifty

Current Project: Reading books about entrepreneurs and sharing what I learned from them

Mission: Create a library of wisdom from notable entrepreneurs that current entrepreneurs can leverage to increase their chances of success

Cumulative metrics (since 4/1/24):

  • Total books read: 45
  • Total book digests created: 15
  • Total blog posts published: 280
  • Total audio recordings published: 103

This week’s metrics:

  • Books read: 1
  • Book digests created: 0
  • Blog posts published: 7
  • Audio recordings published: 0

What I completed this week (link to last week’s commitments):

What I’ll do next week:

  • Read a biography, autobiography, or framework book
  • Pick two types of output and associated user problems and create an approach and workflow to solve each problem
  • Get feedback on the problem, vision, and mission statements from two seasoned entrepreneurs
  • Create a concise hypothesis statement  
  • Share the draft taxonomy with two people
  • Continue linking blog posts about the same book
  • Continue updating descriptions for blog posts about the same book

Asks:

  • None

Week two hundred fifty was another week of learning. Looking forward to next week!

+ COMMENT

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